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Quote the basic-rate costing the hosted microsim gives under policyengine 6.11.1 - #261
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…gine 6.11.1 The site and capabilities quoted £6.46bn (2026) and £7.38bn (2030), measured under policyengine 4.x, with 2028-29 interpolated. Since the 30 Oct move to policyengine 6.11.1 the hosted microsim gives £6.546bn in 2026 (two jobs, 13 and 15 Nov), £7.006bn in 2028 and £7.48bn in 2030. - papers/pe-microsim/figures/basic_rate_costing.json records both runs with job ids, so the figures finally have a run behind them. - chart_data.json: ours 6.55 (2026-27) and 7.01 (2028-29, now scored, not interpolated); /pe and /obr/validation charts regenerated. - /pe, /pe/validation: -5.1% vs HMRC (was -6.4%), 2028-29 -14.6%, 2030 £7.48bn; capabilities and the population test band say the same. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <[email protected]>
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Found in the demo-readiness pass. A demo call to
population_reform_impactfor 1p on the basic rate returns £6.55bn, while/pe,/pe/validationandlist_model_capabilitiessay £6.46bn. The site figures predate the 30 Oct move to policyengine 6.11.1.Evidence (hosted runs, policyengine 6.11.1, policyengine-uk 2.151.0)
score_reformjob fc-01M79WBA… (13 Nov) andpe_population_impactjob fc-01M7FNV3… (15 Nov), identicalBoth runs are recorded, with job ids, in the new
papers/pe-microsim/figures/basic_rate_costing.json. The page used to say "no scored run is committed for either"; now there is one.Change
validation/figures/chart_data.jsonobr_reform: ours 6.55 (2026–27) and 7.01 (2028–29, now scored, not interpolated). The/peand/obr/validationcosting charts are regenerated./pe/validation: −6.4% → −5.1% vs HMRC's £6.9bn; adds 2028–29 £7.01bn vs £8.2bn (−14.6%) and 2030 £7.48bn; notes the 4.x figures for continuity./peworked example and kv: £6.55bn.capabilities.pypolicy_counterfactual_validitysays the same, andlist_model_capabilitiesreturns it.test_population_impact_uk_real_basic_rate(skipped without microdata): published value 6.55, ±5%.Decisions (mine, logged)
.tex/PDF (obr-macro panel B, pe-microsim) still say 6.46 and need a LaTeX rebuild, so they are not edited here.obr_household_ratio_q12holds an explicit £1,615.75m/q shock (6.463/4), so its ratio doesn't depend on this figure. It is left as is; the OBR pin PR re-measures it.Tests
make_charts.py --checkandsite_contract.pyOK;pytest tests3257 passed; integration 453 passed.integration/changed (capabilities text, test), so merging redeploys Modal.🤖 Generated with Claude Code